{
Donald Trump

People

}
us economic strength fuels market optimism amid potential risks
The U.S. economic surprise index has surged, driven by strong retail sales and improved jobless claims, leading to a sharp rise in the 10-year yield and the Dollar Index. However, despite a favorable economic outlook and rising Trump poll numbers fueling market optimism, the SP500's high valuation raises concerns about potential risks from prolonged high rates and fiscal deficits.
IG
United States Dollar NAHB USA Donald Trump
TradFi, Market Report
14:19 18.10.2024
gold price reaches record high with potential to hit 2900 dollars
Gold prices have surged to a record high, reaching $2,706 per troy ounce, with analysts at UBS predicting a rise to $2,900 by September 2025. This increase is driven by falling interest rates, strong central bank purchases, and ongoing demand for safe investments amid global uncertainties. Political factors and monetary easing from central banks, including the European Central Bank's recent rate cuts, are expected to further support gold prices in the coming weeks.
Investing.com Deutsch
Euro United States Dollar European Central Bank US Federal Reserve UBS SA Investing.com CHE USA Joe Biden Donald Trump UBS analysts Show more
TradFi, Market Report
12:30 18.10.2024
manufacturing output remains stable despite pessimistic sentiment surveys
UBS economist Paul Donovan highlights a disconnect between sentiment surveys and actual economic performance, particularly in manufacturing. Despite frequent negative signals from surveys, real manufacturing output has remained stable, suggesting that pessimistic biases in sentiment do not reflect economic reality. This issue is more pronounced in Europe due to limited data releases and delays in reporting.
FXStreet
Euro United States Dollar UBS SA USA Joe Biden Donald Trump Paul Donovan Show more
TradFi, Market Report
11:55 18.10.2024
misleading sentiment surveys distort perception of economic reality
Financial journalism often conflates sentiment with economic reality, leading to contradictory headlines about manufacturing output. Despite pessimistic sentiment surveys, actual manufacturing performance has remained stable, particularly in the US and Germany, where media emphasis on negative sentiment can distort perceptions of the economy. Investors should be cautious, as these surveys tend to reflect a pessimistic bias that does not align with the true economic situation.
There are times when readers of financial journalism may question whether they have wandered into the twilight zone. Headlines proclaiming that “manufacturing output weakens” and “manufacturing output strengthens” can follow each other with lightning speed. The problem is that the media often misrepresents sentiment as economic reality.
United States Dollar Euro Ism International Inc. PMI GmbH USA Joe Biden Donald Trump Paul Donovan Show more
TradFi, Market Report
11:44 18.10.2024
impact of us elections on commodities markets and trade dynamics
The upcoming U.S. elections could significantly impact commodity markets, with a potential Kamala Harris victory likely boosting demand for industrial metals and renewable energy materials due to increased infrastructure spending. Conversely, a Trump re-election may favor fossil fuels through deregulation and support for domestic production, affecting agricultural exports and trade relations. Both scenarios will influence the U.S. dollar, indirectly impacting commodity prices.
IG
Apple Inc. Brent Crude Kamala Harris Donald Trump Show more
TradFi, Market Report
10:00 18.10.2024
impact of us elections on commodity markets and prices
The upcoming U.S. election could significantly impact commodity markets, with Kamala Harris's potential victory likely boosting demand for industrial metals and renewable energy materials due to increased infrastructure spending. Conversely, a Trump re-election may favor fossil fuels and deregulation, affecting supply and prices. Both scenarios could influence the U.S. dollar's strength, further impacting commodity prices.
IG
Apple Inc. Brent CHN USA Kamala Harris Donald Trump Show more
TradFi, Market Report
09:58 18.10.2024
impact of us elections on commodity markets and price trends
The outcome of the US elections could significantly impact commodity markets, with a Kamala Harris win likely boosting demand for renewable energy commodities like copper and lithium, while reducing reliance on fossil fuels. In contrast, a Trump re-election may favor traditional fossil fuels through deregulation and increase demand for industrial metals due to infrastructure spending. Both scenarios could influence precious metals as geopolitical uncertainty drives demand for safe-haven assets like gold, alongside fiscal and monetary policies affecting the US dollar and commodity prices.
IG
Apple Inc. Brent Crude Oil Kamala Harris Donald Trump Show more
TradFi, Market Report
09:57 18.10.2024
us indices poised for gains as australian banks drive asx 200 higher
US indices are set for historic gains, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones on track for their best run since late 2023. The ASX 200 reached a record high, driven by strong bank performance, while key economic indicators showed positive trends in retail sales and job growth.Looking ahead, significant events include the Reserve Bank of Australia's speech and the release of various PMIs in the US, Europe, and Japan, alongside the third-quarter earnings season featuring major companies like Tesla and Boeing.
IG
Euro Chinese Yuan United States Dollar Japanese Yen Tesla, Inc. Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. The Boeing Company Lockheed Martin Corporation American Airlines Group Inc. CHN JPN AUS USA NZL DEU Lockheed Martin Donald Trump Coca-Cola Joe Biden Elon Musk Show more
TradFi, Market Report
05:47 18.10.2024
growing concerns over us national debt among institutional investors
Institutional investors are increasingly worried about the U.S. national debt, which is projected to exceed $1.9 trillion, raising concerns about its impact on portfolios amid high interest rates and geopolitical tensions. A recent survey revealed that central bank policies and macroeconomic risks are top concerns, with many institutions reassessing their fixed income strategies. The rising debt levels are not just a U.S. issue but a global phenomenon, prompting scrutiny of fiscal policies worldwide.
Institutional Investor
United States Dollar Schroders plc USA CHN Kamala Harris Adam Farstrup Donald Trump Show more
Finance & Economy, Market Report
16:24 17.10.2024
us elections and their potential impact on global financial markets
The outcome of the US elections could significantly impact financial markets, with Trump favoring traditional sectors like oil and defense, while Harris would boost renewable energy and healthcare. Trump's policies may lead to volatility and inflation, whereas Harris could stabilize markets with a more moderate approach. Investors must adapt their strategies based on the election result, as each candidate presents distinct opportunities and risks.
IG
United States Dollar Tesla, Inc. SunPower Corporation SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. CHN USA Kamala Harris Donald Trump Show more
TradFi, Market Report
12:03 17.10.2024
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